Supporters of the Magpies are increasingly seeing their manager's side as a fickle companion. On their day, they prove to be the undisputed life of the party, unleashing high-intensity performances. But, in other matches, key figures like their midfield linchpin and others simply go missing.
Compounding these problems is a second-half game management riddled with a worrying tendency of panic. Before their holiday fixture to Manchester United, the facts tell a concerning picture: they have let slip thirteen precious top-flight leverage from leading situations this season and are yet to keep a clean sheet in ten consecutive outings in every tournament. Securing three points at their famous stadium would represent only their second-ever league success on the travel this year.
In contrast, a loss has only come on one occasion in their last six league encounters, and despite sitting in a modest eleventh position, they remain a only 6 points off the highly-prized top four. Factor in an impending two-part Carabao Cup last-four clash against the reigning champions and a decent opportunity of progressing to the European Cup knockout phase, and it is simpler to understand the manager's cautious hope.
“We don't just have problems,” said the club's boss. “You can see assets too. I am decidedly optimistic right now. I know outside observers could have a opposing take, but I feel we are improving.”
The challenge remains: will this group match – or even eclipse – the heights of last season's Wembley triumph and fifth-place standing? Balancing a hectic fixture list complicates.
The resulting tiredness may be the reason behind the inability to maintain a superb first-half showing against their London rivals, ultimately letting slip a two-goal lead to draw 2-2. Similarly, it could be the reason for a subdued display in a painful defeat to arch-rivals the Black Cats, where the side appeared sluggish just a short time after a tough Champions League away day.
Although coaching is clearly the manager's forte, the relentless grind of two games a week matches has severely reduced essential practice sessions. This impedes the team's stylistic adjustment to playing with summer signing their number nine leading the line, instead of the now departed Alexander Isak. While extremely skilled, Woltemade lacks the equivalent searing breakaway pace or ferocious pressing.
Indeed, the side's previously effective pressing game has occasionally malfunctioned. Injuries to key cog Joelinton have exacerbated matters, while high-profile signings the Swedish winger and Jacob Ramsey have found it tough adapting since their combined £90m+ moves.
If a switch to a 3-5-2 could arguably help the cause, a worsening backline absence list renders that problematic. First-choice full-backs will be missing for the upcoming key fixtures, further testing the team's resources.
When playing at their high-tempo best, they seem virtually unstoppable. The problem is maintaining that intensity for the entire match. The often-seen plan B of sitting back into a passive defensive formation has sometimes proven self-destructive.
“The Chelsea game became disorganized at 2-2,” said the coach. “But the intention was trying to win. Our mentality is to always try to win.”
What appears necessary is a pragmatic solution – with superior possession retention, a engine room adept of controlling the pace, and a pragmatic willingness to occasionally settle for a draw. Yet, a desire to compete on every fronts is stretching limited player numbers to their limit.
This might appear unthinkable to some, but a different strategy in the cup competitions in the initial stages could have eased the current fixture congestion. Amid vital European and Premier League matches on the agenda, the imperative to carefully prioritize is becoming increasingly clear.
Eddie Howe recognized the magnitude of the task ahead. “Being involved this club, the expectations are immense. Every moment's critical. We have work to do in the Premier League. We're in the League Cup last four, we aim to progress in the Europe and perform in the FA Cup.
“The direction is in the correct path, but we have plenty of work to do to transform into the consistently winning team we envision. Our capacity to put winning runs has escaped us this season.
“The objective is to attain those heights we are aware we're able to reach. My feeling is that the self-belief to do that is coming back. Yet now we have to prove it. It's not all doom and gloom right now, but the upcoming fixtures will determine a great deal.”
Lena Visser is techjournalist met focus op startups en digitale transformatie in Eindhoven.